Stagnation

Manufacturing Surveys Disappoint In June, Signal Looming Stagflationary Threat

Despite slumping 'hard' data, 'soft' survey data has been trending higher on a bed of soaring prices (well it must be demand), and supplier delivery delays (well it must be demand) providing any and all asset-gatherers and commission-rakers the ammo to confirm the recovery.

The Stimulus Boom Is Already Over. Now Comes Stagnation.

The United States retail sales and jobless claims weakness, significantly below estimates, coincides with the largest fiscal and monetary stimulus in history. Something is not right when these figures come significantly below estimates in an environment of massive upgrades to gross domestic product (GDP). Why?

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