Bill Maher recently conceded that his forecast of economic turmoil from President Trump’s tariff policy was incorrect. On his Club Random podcast, Maher acknowledged the economy is performing strongly with record-high markets and no visible recession.
Maher explained that he and many analysts predicted that by the Fourth of July, the economy would have collapsed. But those projections did not materialize. He emphasized reality over partisan bias, stating: “I don’t see a country in a depression at all.”
He said the stock market continues to hit new highs, and everyday life appears normal—nothing like the feared collapse from his earlier warnings. Despite still criticizing some aspects of Trump’s trade posture, Maher underscored that his initial judgment did not align with economic facts.
Maher added, “I’ve got to own it”—acknowledging that he now sees the unintended positive outcomes of tariff measures and the limits of prediction when driven by opposition to Trump.
Maher’s admission stands out amid liberal skepticism toward Trump-era policies. It offers conservative-leaning audiences evidence-based validation of Trump’s economic strategy, particularly given widespread warnings from left-leaning commentators.
For conservatives, the episode highlights the importance of evaluating policy outcomes over partisan rhetoric. Maher’s reversal may influence how economic debates are framed in progressive media moving forward.
