An Associated Press VoteCast poll alongside research organization NORC at the University of Chicago revealed that Republicans are not gaining Independent voters despite Democratic support also weakening. The poll of 115,000 voters suggests 38% of Independents supported GOP House candidates, compared to 37% in 2020 and 38% in 2018. Democratic support dropped to 42%, down from 52% in 2020.
"You’ve got to tell them what you’re going to do," said David Winston, a Republican pollster and senior adviser to House Republicans who had been critical of GOP candidates’ messaging strategy this year. "Somehow the Republican campaigns managed not to do that. And that’s a real serious problem." ... "We were just being told, Pelosi bad, Biden bad, therefore Craig bad, instead of hearing, This is my plan to represent this district,'" Steve Stauff, a 42-year-old sales representative told the AP. "If you don’t bring me solutions to whatever problems you think we have, how can I take you seriously?"