Plurality of Voters Believe Supreme Court Will Overturn Roe V. Wade: Poll

New Morning Consult poll finds plurality of Americans believe Supreme Court will roll back abortion rights by overturning the 50-year-old ruling.

  • The poll found 40% of 2,000 registered voters polled believe it’s likely the Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade, which guarantees the federal right to an abortion, while 30% don’t know and 31% believe it’s not likely, Forbes reports.
  • The poll was conducted Dec 4-6, after the Supreme Court heard arguments Dec 1 in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health, which challenges Mississippi’s 15-week abortion ban.
  • Forbes notes the 40% plurality is “far higher than the 26% of voters who said in May 2019 they believed the ruling would be struck down, and a 49% plurality said at the time the court would not overturn its precedent.”
  • “Democrats are most likely to believe the court will roll back abortion rights, with 50% now saying it’s likely they’ll overturn Roe v. Wade, up from 30% in 2019.”
  • “Republicans are still skeptical the court will take action on Roe v. Wade, with only 32% believing it will overturn its precedent—up slightly from 27% in 2019—while a 40% plurality say it’s unlikely.”