Majority of Iowa GOP Caucus Attendees Believe Trump Won 2020 Election

Originally published August 22, 2023 6:00 pm PDT

Compared to forty-one percent of Iowa Republicans and Independents who do not believe Trump won the 2020 presidential election.

QUICK FACTS:
  • An NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll found that 51% of likely Iowa caucus attendees believe Trump won the 2020 presidential election.
  • The majority of Republicans (60%) believe Trump’s 2020 election claims.
  • Those making less than $70,000 a year (60%), evangelical Christians (62%), and those without a collegiate-level degree (59%) believe Trump won.
  • Eight percent of those participating in the poll are unsure whether they believe Trump’s 2020 election claims.
  • Among those who plan to vote for Trump in the 2024 presidential election, 83% of likely caucusgoers believe the former president won the 2020 election.
CANDIDATE CONSIDERATION:
  • Forty percent of poll respondents said they have decided who they will support in Republican primaries.
  • Forty-two percent of likely Republican caucus attendees chose Trump as their first choice for the GOP presidential nominee.
  • Florida Governor Ron DeSantis was the next-highest GOP presidential candidate, with 19% of poll respondents choosing him as their primary figure.
  • Those who plan to vote for DeSantis also reported that they could be persuaded to vote for another candidate (69%).
  • DeSantis also has greater favorability in the state of Iowa in comparison to Trump, with 66% of likely caucusgoers preferring DeSantis to Trump (65%).
BACKGROUND:
  • American Faith reported that Donald Trump will not be attending the GOP presidential debates.
  • Trump wrote on Truth Social that he leads Republican contenders by “legendary” margins, referring to results from a recent CBS poll.
  • “The public knows who I am & what a successful Presidency I had, with Energy Independence, Strong Borders & Military, Biggest EVER Tax & Regulation Cuts, No Inflation, Strongest Economy in History, & much more,” reflecting on his presidency.
  • “I WILL THEREFORE NOT BE DOING THE DEBATES,” Trump stated.
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