Former President Barack Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said this weekend that the numbers showing favor for Kamala Harris winning the election don’t look promising.
“The early vote numbers are a little scary,” Messina admitted. “Republicans didn’t do what they did last time. Last time, Trump said, ‘Don’t early vote.’ And so they didn’t. Republicans do have an advantage in early vote numbers when the early votes come in. It’s gonna look a little bit different than 2020, and that’s scary.”
Earlier this week, liberal data analyst Nate Silver said he believes Donald Trump will win the election, accusing pollsters of misleading voters in order to make the race appear closer than it actually is.
“I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver said during an episode of his weekly podcast, Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova. “They all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just plus-one, every single state’s a tie,’ no! You’re f–king herding! You’re cheating! You’re cheating!”
Silver accused them of recycling past results to keep the race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appearing close.
The analyst said his own model shows Trump ahead of Harris, 55% to 45%, ahead of the election this week.
“Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You’re putting your [expletive] finger on the scale!” Silver said.
