CNN’s Harry Enten Predicts Republicans Will Take Huge Majority in the House 

Republicans in the “best position in over 80 years.”

QUICK FACTS:
  • CNN’s Senior Data Reporter harry Enten has predicted that Republicans will have a huge majority in the House of Representatives after the midterm elections, according to Mediaite.
  • The data reporter told Jake Tapper on The Lead Monday saying that the slight 12-seat majority held by Democrats will almost certainly dissolve, as Republicans are in the best position in decades to take seats. 
  • “If you’re a Republican running for re-election, or trying to unseat a Democrat, things are looking pretty good, right?” Tapper asked Enten, to which the analyst said the Republicans were looking “very good.” 
  • The CNN contributor said that there could be change before the election, but his current projections put Republicans with a solid lead in the House.
  • “My estimate for the 2023 House makeup, if the election were held today, which again, it isn’t … would be Republicans, 236 seats to 241 seats. Democrats, 194 to 199,” Enten said.
ENTEN’S ANALYSIS OF THE POLITICAL LANDSCAPE TODAY:
  • “I would say [Republicans are] looking very good from the historical context. Basically, I took the best Republican positions on the generic congressional ballot at this point in midterm cycles since 1938, that generic ballot basically is, ‘Would you vote for the generic Republican or generic Democrat in your district?'” Enten told Tapper.
  • “And guess what, since 1938, the Republican two-point lead on the generic congressional ballot is the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years. It beats 2010, when Republicans were up a point,” Enten went on to say.
  • “Now, of course, the election is not being held tomorrow, and we’ll see,” Enten added. “That’s based off a formula of seat-to-seat race ratings from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections.”
BACKGROUND:
  • House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) has made similar predictions about the upcoming elections, saying he believes the GOP will gain as many as 20-35 seats in the House.
  • Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville also admitted that Democrats are “not going in a very good direction,” ahead of the election.

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