Data from the U.S. Census Bureau and reported by the New York Post reveal that white Americans will become a minority in the United States by 2050. According to the report, the shift will be prevalent in 16 states, including New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut.
The Post reports that in 1980, the U.S. was 80% white, a number that is expected to drop to 47% by 2050 and 44% by 2060. By 2000, California, Hawaii, and New Mexico had a less than 50% white population. By 2020, white Americans made up 47% of Maryland, 46% in Nevada, and 40% in Texas.
Caucasian Americans are also expected to decrease to only 51% by 2060, 51% in Louisiana, 46% in Massachusetts, 51% in Massachusetts, 49% in North Carolina, 47% in Rhode Island, and 47% in Virginia.
The projections come as the United States faces a historic birth decline.
The U.S. Fertility rate hit a record low in 2025: 1.57 births per woman, below the replacement level of 2.1. And by 2033, according to the Congressional Budget Office, America will record more deaths than births in a single year. For the first time in the history of this republic, we will be shrinking.
According to an April 2026 report from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS), “The provisional number of births for the United States in 2025 was 3,606,400, a 1% decline from 2024.” It adds, “The number of births declined by an average 2% per year from 2015 through 2020 and has generally fluctuated since then.”
