Newsom Presidential Ambitions Poll Stuns California Voters

A new UC Berkeley poll reveals that a clear majority of California voters believe Governor Gavin Newsom is prioritizing his national political ambitions over addressing the state’s mounting problems. Voters now view Newsom more as a presidential hopeful than a public servant, by more than a two-to-one margin.

The survey found that 54% of voters say Newsom is focusing on actions that would benefit a potential White House bid, while just 26% believe he is governing effectively. Among Republicans, that number rises to a staggering 83%. A slim majority of independents (52%) and even 40% of Democrats agree that Newsom is more concerned with building his national profile than managing California’s affairs.

The poll, conducted by the Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, comes as Newsom enters his final two years in office amid worsening homelessness, a spiraling cost of living, and a looming budget crisis. Despite these challenges, the governor has been busy positioning himself on the national stage, including frequent media appearances and public clashes with Republican-led states.

Newsom’s job approval numbers have remained relatively flat, although the share of voters who “strongly approve” of his performance has declined by 3%. A matching drop was recorded in those who “strongly disapprove.”

The survey also gauged Californians’ opinions on the impact of President Donald Trump’s policies on the state. Sixty-four percent believe Trump’s tariffs negatively affect California businesses and agriculture. Majorities also expressed concern about Trump’s influence on publicly funded programs, such as Medi-Cal, as well as his positions on illegal immigration and climate change.

Interestingly, views were more evenly split on the effect of Trump policies on the state’s oil and gas industry. Thirty-five percent saw a negative impact, 32% viewed it as positive, and 33% were undecided or had mixed views.

While criticisms of Newsom’s priorities are rising, the data also reflects a deeply partisan lens through which Californians evaluate both state and federal leadership. The question remains whether dissatisfaction with Newsom’s focus will translate into political consequences—or bolster his national ambitions.

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